- Meridian Compass
- Posts
- The Week in FX and Crypto: January 6, 2026
The Week in FX and Crypto: January 6, 2026
Framework-Based Structure Analysis. Educational Only.
mark schaefer
January 06, 2026
IN THIS ISSUE:
Market Structure Update: Low volatility coming into 2026
BTC & Silver: Key levels to watch
Week Ahead: What to watch as liquidity returns
Market Structure Update
USD Index & Major Pairs:
Low volatility environment as markets return from holiday period. Liquidity returning to the markets this week - volatility likely to pick up as well. Watch for head fake on a breakout.
Stocks up, risk-on tone to start 2026.
BTC:
Consolidative price action continues. Key levels:
78K - 38.2% Fibonacci support (Entire move)
98K - 38.2% Fibonacci resistance (All time high to 80k)
Range bound until we get a clean break and close beyond either level.
Silver:
Retraced just short of the 61.8% Fib. Short term bearish structure still intact. $56 is the key level on a deeper retracement. Bearish structure negated on a close over $80.
EUR/GBP
Broke double bottom at .8700 on Monday
Private Group Launching March
Live market color from a hedge fund trading desk perspective. Ideas with substance - backed by levels, historical context, multiple timeframe analysis and risk management. What's developing in FX, crypto, futures and the reasoning behind it.
First 25 spots: $300/month locked forever.
Standard pricing: $600/month
Join the waitlist: https://bit.ly/48DbkdJ
Educational only. Not trade signals.
Week Ahead
Key Levels:
USD Index: Low vol environment, watching for pickup and potential head fakes
BTC: 78K support / 98K resistance - range-bound
Silver: $56 key support on deeper pullback / Close over $80 negates bearish structure
Key Events:
First full trading week of 2026
Friday: US employment data
Liquidity normalizing - watch for volatility expansion
Allocation Update
The systematic allocation I mentioned in December's newsletter is now scaling this week following successful launch.
Strong timing: The model finished 2025 with very strong double-digit percentage returns using these same frameworks - volatility analysis, momentum and time frame alignment and systematic risk management.
Low volatility to start the year. Key levels mapped. Watching for activity as liquidity returns.
Next Tuesday: Weekly market update.
— Mark
Meridian Compass is brought to you by Mark Schaefer, a quantitative portfolio manager with over 30 years experience developing and trading systematic strategies in global futures and FX at major banks and hedge funds.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER